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Friday, November 13, 2015

Another Round of Storms On The Horizon



Southeast Texas is bracing for another round of possible flooding and severe storms early next week. Depicted above is the expected rainfall totals through Tuesday. Note the +3" amounts from east Texas into eastern Oklahoma. One way to always know when an imminent severe storm threat is looming is by subscribing to WeatherCall: try.weathercall.net/signupnow.

It's becoming an all-too familiar pattern which began the weekend before Halloween. This time, low pressure will emerge from southwest Texas and interact with a vigorous upper-level low pressure and cold front coming out of the Rockies. 

The surface low will be able to tap into abundant Gulf moisture while the upper-level low and front will provide sufficient lift and wind shear to allow strong, slow-moving and possibly severe thunderstorms to develop. Here is the depiction for late Monday:


Notice how the rain area expands by Tuesday:



This system doesn't move out until late Tuesday. Even this far out, the Storm Prediction Center is indicating that Southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana could have a risk for severe weather; first late Monday going into Tuesday morning:



And then from late Tuesday into early Wednesday:



This will definitely be a system to watch as it evolves, so stay aware and alert. 

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