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Monday, January 28, 2013

Tuesday Storm Threat


By Gene Norman
Follow @genenormanwx on twitter

Yeah, yeah, I know - where's the rain today, Gene?  If you're a frequent reader of this blog, you're probably wondering about that.  The forecast for today called for mostly cloudy skies with intermittent rain.   It never happened, as the upper-level disturbance moved out faster than expected.  However, a new threat looms for tomorrow.  A vigorous upper-level disturbance now in the Four Corners will trek eastward, dragging a cold front with it.  That means that late Tuesday going into early Wednesday, we should expect thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe.  The Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma depicts the threat like this:


The greatest threat is from northern Louisiana to eastern Arkansas.  Storms will likely produce tornadoes and hail there.  Storms could produce isolated storms in most of east Texas, but mainly north of the Houston area.  That does mean, however, that places like Polk, San Jacinto and Trinity counties could see a damaging storm or two.  Closer to Houston, we can't rule out a severe storm, but general showers and thunderstorms are more likely.

So just go through a mental checklist: where will you be tomorrow night?  Do you know what you'd do if severe weather struck?  I'll know more about the threat tomorrow and will post an update.  Also, check my twitter and Facebook feeds for warnings as they're issued.

Once the storms move out Wednesday morning, say "bye-bye" to near 80° weather.  Brace for a couple of cold mornings and cool afternoons through the end of the week.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy and mild.  Lows in the mid to upper 60s with steady southeast winds 5-10 mph.

NORMAN NUMBER FOR TUESDAY: 6
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers developing by early afternoon.  Stronger thunderstorms likely in the early evening and through the night.  Some storms could be severe with gusty wind, and hail.  Highs in the mid to upper 70s with balmy southerly winds 10-15 mph.

NORMAN NUMBER FOR WEDNESDAY: 6
WEDNESDAY: Rain exiting in the morning, then steadily clearing skies.  Noticeably cooler with gusty northwest winds.  Highs in the low 60s, northwest winds 15-20 mph.

In Houston this Saturday? Join me for Ground Hog Day at the weather museum 5104 Caroline

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